Saturday, March 22, 2025

Robinhood Launches Prediction Markets Hub

JB Mackenzie, Robinhood

March 17

Today, Robinhood Derivatives, LLC (RHD) announced a prediction markets hub directly within the Robinhood App, giving customers the opportunity to trade on the outcomes of some of the world’s biggest events. At launch, the hub will allow customers to trade contracts for what the upper bound of the target fed funds rate will be in May, as well as the upcoming men’s and women’s College Basketball Tournaments.

“We believe in the power of prediction markets and think they play an important role at the intersection of news, economics, politics, sports, and culture,” said JB Mackenzie, VP & GM of Futures and International at Robinhood. “We’re excited to offer our customers a new way to participate in prediction markets and look forward to doing so in compliance with existing regulations.” 

Building a standalone prediction markets hub allows us to better serve our customers as they look to engage with events that align with their interests. Prediction markets operate within a regulated framework and leverage the power and rigor of financial market structure to facilitate greater liquidity, transparency, and price discovery.

Robinhood is committed to enabling anyone, anywhere, to trade, invest or earn on the financial assets that are available to institutions and that our retail customers want. You can read our recent policy paper on prediction markets for more information on our position and support for this emerging asset class.  

The prediction markets hub–and corresponding contracts–will initially be available across the US through KalshiEX LLC, a CFTC regulated exchange. We have been in close contact with the CFTC over the past several weeks and look forward to continuing to work with them to promote innovation in the futures, derivatives and crypto markets. 

These contracts will start rolling out today and will be available to all eligible customers in the coming daysFor more information visit our Help Center

Disclosures:

Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Futures, options on futures and cleared swaps trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it’s appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances.

We expect the College Basketball Tournament and target fed fund rate event contracts on Robinhood to be tradeable daily from 8:00am ET until 3:00am ET.

To be eligible, customers must apply and be approved for a Robinhood Derivatives account (or already have an existing Robinhood Derivatives account). Additional trading prohibitions apply for these contracts. For the College Basketball Tournament contracts, please see Appendix B of the trading prohibitions for these contracts).

Read the Event Contracts Risk Disclosure for more information about the risks associated with event contracts.

The College Basketball Tournament and target fed funds rate event contracts are offered by Robinhood Derivatives, LLC through KalshiEX LLC. Robinhood Derivatives, LLC is a registered futures commission merchant with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and Member of National Futures Association (NFA) (NFA ID 0424278). As a registered futures commission merchant, Robinhood Derivatives, LLC, does not make markets in any futures or event contracts.

The College Basketball Tournament event contracts are not endorsed by any collegiate athletic association or collegiate basketball team that is part of any collegiate basketball league, or any other company, agency, or government entity. The use of the term “College Basketball Tournament,” and the use of any collegiate team names or abbreviations or colors does not indicate an endorsement of this product.

This blog post contains forward-looking statements regarding Robinhood’s expectations, beliefs, plans, and projections about its business, regulatory environment, and product offerings. These statements are based on current assumptions and subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated. Such risks include, but are not limited to, regulatory developments, market demand, legal challenges, technological changes, and economic conditions. Robinhood undertakes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements after the date of this communication, except as required by law. 

Retail Traders ‘Go Pro’

Once seen as less sophisticated than institutional trading, the retail sector is now thriving, with traders building complex algorithms, utilizing AI-driven tools, and benefiting from market innovation, according to Martin Franchi, CEO of NinjaTrader.

Retail traders today are more sophisticated than ever, utilizing powerful technology to develop intricate trading strategies, said Franchi, speaking on the sidelines of FIA Boca in Florida.

Martin Franchi

“Our customers have always been very sophisticated. For some reason, retail had a bit of a bad name, but our customers are building incredibly complicated strategies and algorithms,” he said.

“You can create algorithms, you can create charts, you can create indicators. And what we’ve seen is people have built incredibly complicated things,” he said.

According to Franchi, regulation has played a crucial role in shaping the retail futures market, which was historically underrepresented. “Today, you see a high degree of retail participation,” he noted. “Exchanges, regulators, and brokerages are now aligned in supporting retail in a way they never have before.”

This growing support is evident in how major exchanges, like CME Group, highlight retail as one of their fastest-growing segments. As regulators continue refining policies, retail traders are gaining safer and more structured access to markets that were once dominated by institutional players.

Product innovation is a driving force in the growth of retail trading, Franchi said. 

“The microization of contracts at CME has gained traction since 2019,” they explained. “Now, we see event contracts and even startup exchanges challenging the status quo.”

Additionally, as regulatory clarity around cryptocurrencies improves, wider adoption of crypto futures is expected. “Right now, a lot of cryptocurrency trading happens overseas. As the U.S. regulatory framework stabilizes, we’ll likely see broader crypto futures adoption.”

Franchi added that artificial intelligence is revolutionizing trading, not just in execution but also in customer service. 

He shared that NinjaTrader has integrated AI to streamline customer support, answering over 60% of inquiries through automation: ”I was originally nervous about using AI for customer service. As traders have become more self-sufficient and the age has continued to skew younger, they actually prefer engaging with AI over calling support.”

“We intend to deliver more AI based trading within our platforms, so you’ll be able to use common language to create trading strategies without even needing to know how to code,” he added.

Franchi also said that NinjaTrader is developing AI-powered trading tools that will allow users to create trading strategies using natural language rather than coding. 

“In a couple of years, 100% of our customers will be able to develop strategies just by using common language,” they revealed. This advancement could lower the barrier to algorithmic trading, making sophisticated trading tools accessible to a wider audience.

According to Franchi, education remains at the core of their offering.

With over 1.9 million traders on its platform, NinjaTrader has spent more than 20 years pioneering futures trading education, equipping retail traders with the tools and knowledge to thrive in this fast-evolving market.

On Monday, March 17, the company launched a revamped livestream, NinjaTrader Live, led by veteran futures trader Anthony Crudele, to help retail traders find their daily trading edge while building strong fundamentals for successful trading strategies.

“With new traders joining the market daily, accessible and impactful education has never been more important,” said Crudele. 

“As the market thrives, this livestream serves as a reliable source for traders to stay ahead of real-time developments, gain essential knowledge, and access insights from top professionals—all in one place. Our goal is simple: empower traders with the tools and education they need for long-term success,” he added.

In addition to Crudele, Tracy Shuchart, Senior Economist of NinjaTrader Live, will deliver daily insights on key macroeconomic events, analyzing their significance and how they act as a driving force in the financial markets.

In the coming months, NinjaTrader will continue to lead the conversation on futures trading education and introduce additional industry leaders to further expand the platform’s programming and enhance its impact on the futures trading community.

TECH TUESDAY: Closing Time for 24-Hour Equity Markets

Woman study the stock market data

TECH TUESDAY is a weekly content series covering all aspects of capital markets technology. TECH TUESDAY is produced in collaboration with Nasdaq.

More and more trading in U.S. stocks is coming from overseas. Some of those traders are used to how trading in futures, FX and other markets work, where they offer trading outside U.S. working hours, sometimes 24 hours a day.

As the U.S. stock market moves closer to trading “around the clock,” there are some things we need to think about.

To be fair, trades in U.S. stocks can already occur after hours (especially when there is news). Although, the rules for trading are different – and a lot of the investor protections like the NBBO aren’t enforced.

There are many considerations tied to trading around the clock, such as when does a day conclude and the next trading day start. It doesn’t necessarily need to be midnight. Additionally, having a brief moment to allow for the industry to process things like dividends and splits and other corporate actions – many of which affect prices – is necessary as we migrate our procedures to support around the clock markets.

For example, if a stock is doing a split, limit prices and share quantities will need to change. So, if a company does a 10-for-1 stock split:

  • The price should fall to 1/10th of its prior price, so the market cap (valuation) is the same after the split.
  • The share quantities to buy and sell should increase by 10x.
  • That way the cash required is the same as before the split.

When would be a good time to do this?

If we look at the different times that all the largest stock markets are “officially” open around the world, midnight U.S. time might not be the most logical time to pause the market.

At midnight in the U.S., markets in countries like Australia, Japan and Korea are already open. That means investors in those countries are also awake and able to trade (locally). 

Chart 1: Official stock market hours for the larger markets around the world

Official stock market hours for the larger markets around the world

Interestingly, there is a period shortly after the U.S. close where no markets in the world are open. Japan and Korean markets do not open until 10 p.m. (New York time). Even CME’s Globex Futures market pauses each night during this window, halting trading from 5pm-6pm (New York time).

When we look at stock trading activity, based on time stamps reported to the SIP (Chart 2), we see that the period from 4 p.m. until 6 p.m. is still reasonably busy, and residual trading appears elevated right up to 8 p.m., which is when the SIP itself officially pauses for the night, reopening at 4 a.m.

However, when the SIP reopens, there are trades reported from the period when the SIP was closed, although they are much lower than when the SIP is open and tend to cluster around the top-of-each-hour.

Chart 2: Volumes shown by trade timestamps on the SIP during an average 24-hour day

Volumes shown by trade timestamps on the SIP during an average 24-hour day

Maybe by midnight (U.S. time) tomorrow should already have started

Although it might seem natural to us in the U.S. to stop the day around midnight, it’s important to remember that this is about international investors. 

Looking at times where international trading might be more active, it might make sense to pause markets earlier in the evening and start tomorrow’s trading before the clock officially strikes midnight.

It’s just one of the things we need to think about changing! 

CAT’s Nine Lives

Jim Toes, STA

By Jim Toes, STA President and CEO 

Paul Atkins will soon testify before the Senate Banking Committee for his potential SEC Chair nomination, with no set date. In addition to facing questions on his regulatory philosophy, enforcement priorities, and the SEC’s mandate to protect investors, ensure fair markets, and support capital formation, Atkins will face more specific inquiries.

Jim Toes, STA
Jim Toes

In this fourth of a multi-part series about the topics Mr. Atkins will most likely face, we highlight the evolution of the Consolidated Audit Trail, (“CAT”), a behemoth of a project spawned under a Regulation NMS Plan which has taken on its own life.

Backstory

CAT was conceived in the aftermath of the “Flash Crash” of May 6, 2010. This event saw a rapid, trillion-dollar drop in U.S. equity markets within minutes, followed by a swift recovery. The speed of modern trading across fragmented markets made it extremely challenging for the Securities and Exchange Commission to piece together what had occurred. This incident underscored the need for a more robust, centralized system to track and analyze market activity across different exchanges and trading venues, leading to the SEC’s proposal of Rule 613 in 2010.

It would take another eight years before the new surveillance entity, Consolidated Audit Trail, LLC would process its first trade report on November 15, 2018.

The primary function of CAT is to provide a comprehensive, centralized repository for tracking all trading activity in U.S. markets for National Market System (NMS) securities, which includes equities and options. CAT’s intentions are to enhance regulatory oversight and improve market surveillance, as well as to reduce the burden of data collection by streamlining the process for broker-dealers and exchanges by reducing the need for multiple, disparate reporting systems.

Despite its noble objectives, the CAT has experienced multiple delays, cost overruns, and several controversies, with issues ranging from technical challenges to governance and operational concerns. The complexity of integrating data from a diverse array of market participants has proven more challenging than anticipated. Expenses for the industry have been higher than originally projected. Market participants have also questioned whether CAT’s data will be effectively used by regulators or if it represents an overreach, potentially stifling innovation or adding unnecessary layers of bureaucracy to trading activities.

Reporting Requirements and Their Effect on Costs

The CAT data warehouse is the largest financial regulatory database in existence, with a scale speculated to rival the NSA’s data storage capabilities. This year, CAT-reportable events have averaged 50 billion per day, with regular spikes reaching up to 65 billion—far surpassing initial estimates. While this surge partly stems from growth in equity and options exchanges and overall trading volumes, the primary driver is the SEC’s increasingly aggressive interpretation of what must be reported to achieve CAT’s objectives. Over the past five years, the SEC has adopted a stringent stance on defining CAT-reportable events and the scope of required information.

Revisit What Needs to Be Reported and How Quickly

The SEC is obligated to conduct cost-benefit analysis when issuing rules. However, the scope of CAT-reportable information has grown due to new interpretations of reporting requirements, often emerging without adequate cost-benefit analysis.

Recently, the industry welcomed the SEC’s exemptive order on February 10, 2025, which exempted firms from reporting certain personally identifiable information (PII) of investors to CAT. The SEC noted in its order that such data is ‘not necessary to achieve CAT’s objectives.’ This prompts a broader question: what other data might also be extraneous? One area ripe for consideration is verbal quotes provided by market makers on exchanges, trading floors, or over the phone. While this activity received a temporary exemption on July 28, 2023, that relief is slated to expire on July 31, 2026.

There are other temporary exemptive relief orders that are repeatedly extended for various reasons, primarily the requirements are so burdensome that no viable technological solution exists.

Quote updates by options market makers across more than 1 million strike series represent another area that warrants review from a cost–benefit perspective.

The cost-benefit analysis of reportable events should also consider required reporting timelines. Since enforcement isn’t conducted in real-time, why must quote information—valuable for detecting layering or spoofing—be reported by exchanges at or near real-time? Delaying this reporting by a few hours could generate substantial cost savings without undermining CAT’s effectiveness.

Balancing regulatory oversight, market efficiency, investor privacy, and cost management should be a top priority for any SEC Chair. As Mr. Atkins prepares to face the Senate Banking Committee, CAT stands as a critical yet contentious piece of his potential SEC tenure. CAT’s sprawling scope, escalating costs, and questionable necessity of certain data requirements—like verbal quotes and short reporting timelines — need to be revisited to refine it into a practical tool for market integrity.

Kraken Introduces Colocation Service

Kraken, a cryptocurrency exchange, has announced plans for its new colocation service, aimed at clients and partners seeking ultra-fast execution.

The service is designed to further enhance trading performance and scalability, while maintaining fair and transparent access to Kraken’s global crypto markets.

Starting later this year, Kraken clients will be able to access ultra-low latency trading from Kraken’s European data center by renting cloud compute from Beeks, a leading provider of low-latency compute, connectivity and analytics solutions.

Shannon Kurtas

Eligible clients with specific technical requirements will also have the option to install physical hardware at Kraken’s data center and access colocation services directly.

“Kraken has spent over a decade continuously enhancing our infrastructure and technology, and this is the next step in that evolution,” said Shannon Kurtas, Head of Exchange at Kraken.

“By working with Beeks, we’re facilitating even lower latency, more efficient price discovery and deeper liquidity for all of Kraken’s spot and derivative markets.”

While exact latency improvements will vary based on client location, those using Beeks Exchange Cloud colocation services will experience the same low-latency benefits as those installing physical hardware at the data center.

Gordon McArthur, CEO at Beeks Financial Cloud, said: “Our partnership with Kraken is built on shared values of performance, transparency, and trust. With Beeks’ Exchange Cloud® already delivering great results in the tier 1 equity exchanges space, this collaboration is the first of its kind in the crypto space.”

“Together, we’re setting a new benchmark for low-latency, institutional-grade infrastructure, ensuring all traders—regardless of size—benefit from the security, reliability, and performance they need. This is a significant step forward for crypto markets—by lowering barriers to entry and leveling the playing field, we’re supporting Kraken in enhancing access, execution speed, and market fairness for all,” he said.

Kurtas added: “Many exchanges offer colocation services, but Kraken’s approach is unique – we’re making it accessible to all partners and clients, not just institutions. This ensures our most active traders receive an enhanced experience while maintaining our commitment to equal and fair market access, a fundamental value in crypto.”

The Future of Trading Technologies: Automation, AI, and Market Expansion

As financial markets evolve, Trading Technologies (TT) is leading the way with expanded product offerings, enhanced automation, and AI-driven insights. At a panel discussion TT 2025: The Future Is Now at FIA Boca on March 11, Alun Green, EVP & Managing Director, Futures & Options, and Justin Llewellyn-Jones, EVP & Chief Operating Officer, shared TT’s vision for the future, emphasizing the transformation of trading, clearing, and data analytics.

Alun Green

Reflecting on the industry’s journey, Green highlighted the shift from floor-based, voice-to-voice trading to electronic execution. “We saw volumes massively increasing as a result of electronification,” he said. “Now, we are seeing a shift toward low-touch and zero-touch trading, with algorithmic execution playing a central role. Our strategy at TT is to ensure we evolve alongside our customers—and, in many cases, stay ahead of them.”

Llewellyn-Jones emphasized that this transformation extends beyond listed derivatives. “The digitization of futures, equities, and FX markets follows the same curve,” he noted. “As other asset classes catch up, their digitization will accelerate. TT is well-positioned to support clients in this multi-asset evolution.”

TT is not just adapting—it’s driving change. “We are expanding into new asset classes and functionalities to bring greater value to our customers,” Green said.

Recent developments include:

● TT Accreditation Program – Certifying users in mastering TT products.

● European Energy Market Expansion – Adding spot energy trading alongside derivatives.

● Transaction Cost Analysis (TCA) Integration – Allowing traders to assess broker and algo performance.

● Acquisition of ATEO – Strengthening TT’s capabilities in clearing and execution management.

“Excellence in execution isn’t just about placing orders,” Green emphasized. “It’s about optimizing performance across the entire trade lifecycle.”

TT is tackling one of the industry’s biggest inefficiencies: the disconnect between execution and clearing. Historically, front, middle, and back offices have operated in silos, leading to miscommunications and inefficiencies.

Green explained, “For years, clearing and execution were separate worlds, with little communication—until something went wrong. Now, the industry is recognizing the need for real-time, bi-directional data sharing.”

Instead of post-trade uncertainty, TT’s platform ensures visibility into the trade lifecycle. “Traders can now track whether their trades are in the correct accounts, if they’ve passed validation, and if they’ve cleared successfully,” he added.

Justin Llewellyn-Jones

Llewellyn-Jones pointed out that this real-time data integration is critical as markets move toward shorter settlement cycles. “The futures industry is in many ways ahead of the curve,” he said. “Now, with equities moving to T+1 and central clearing expanding for government bonds, instant access to post-trade data is more essential than ever.”

While AI is transforming trading, both Green and Llewellyn-Jones emphasized that it is augmenting human decision-making—not replacing it.

“AI is the next evolution of automation,” Llewellyn-Jones explained. “Markets have consistently introduced tools—screens, algos, smart order routers, data aggregation. AI enhances efficiency and decision-making, rather than replacing traders.”

One major AI application at TT is market surveillance and anomaly detection. “AI excels at spotting outliers,” Green said. “Just like AI in medicine detects anomalies in scans, we use AI to flag unusual trading activity—guiding professionals on where to focus.”

Beyond surveillance, AI is boosting operational efficiency across TT. “AI isn’t taking jobs—it’s making people more effective,” Green noted. “Our developers use AI to code faster, our legal team uses AI to review contracts more efficiently. The key is knowing how to leverage AI as a value-add.”

Llewellyn-Jones added that AI is also creating new roles, particularly in data analytics. “With our acquisition of Abel Noser, we can analyze massive datasets across multiple asset classes in minutes instead of hours. This has opened up demand for quantitative analysts and data scientists—jobs that didn’t exist in the same way a decade ago.”

Looking ahead, TT aims to integrate execution, clearing, and post-trade functions into a seamless, data-driven ecosystem. “The data that is currently siloed across execution, middle office, and back office needs to be unified,” Green said. “By making this data accessible throughout the trade lifecycle, we provide unmatched transparency and efficiency.”

Outgoing CEO Keith Todd reinforced TT’s commitment to innovation: “We’ve evolved from an execution management system (EMS) provider to a powerhouse in capital markets. We work closely with FIA to strengthen the industry, reduce technology costs, and improve market efficiency. As I transition leadership to Justin Llewellyn-Jones, TT remains committed to customer-driven innovation.”

ON THE MOVE: TXSE Makes Senior Appointments

Robert Marrocco

The Texas Stock Exchange (TXSE) has added proven industry veterans to drive its growth into the $11 trillion ETP market, as well as key executives to strengthen strategic operations and market intelligence. Robert Marrocco, the former global head of ETP listings at Cboe Global Markets, joins TXSE as global head of exchange traded products and as a member of TXSE’s management committee. Alison Hennessy, the former head of ETP listings at the Nasdaq Stock Market, has joined the Texas Stock Exchange as managing director of exchange traded products. Additionally, Kyle Murray, former legal head of global listings at Cboe Global Markets, now serves as TXSE’s deputy general counsel and legal head of global listings. TXSE has also hired Laura Morrison as a strategic advisor. She was previously global head of listings and exchange traded products at Cboe Global Markets, as well as global head of indices and exchange traded products at the New York Stock Exchange.

Jillien Flores

Managed Funds Association (MFA) has promoted Jillien Flores to Chief Advocacy Officer, a newly established position within the organization. Flores leads MFA’s advocacy strategy and execution in the new role. She also assumes expanded commercial responsibilities, connecting MFA’s advocacy efforts with member growth and engagement.    

Timothy R. Barakett has been appointed to the KKR & Co. Board of Directors. His appointment will bring the number of independent directors to ten out of a total of fourteen Board seats. Barakett is the Founder and Chief Executive Officer of TRB Advisors, a private investment firm and family office. Prior to founding TRB Advisors in 2010, Mr. Barakett was the Founder and Chief Executive Officer of Atticus Capital.

OMERS has appointed Alexander Fraser as Executive Vice President & Global Head of Private Equity. He will join OMERS on March 17, succeeding Michael Graham, who retired earlier this year. He will be based in New York and will report to Chief Investment Officer Ralph Berg. Fraser joins OMERS from 65 Equity Partners US, where he was a founding partner of a multi-billion-dollar global private equity initiative sponsored by Temasek.

Kyle Jannece has joined 4OTC as Head of Business Development. Jannece has an extensive history in FX, with a background in Account Management and Product Development. He joins from CME Group (EBS), where he managed the Global Sales and Business Development efforts behind the eFix Matching Service.

If you have a new job or promotion to report, let me know at alyudvig@marketsmedia.com

Navigating the Unseen: How AI-Powered Sonar is Transforming Dark Pool Liquidity Discovery

By George Rosenberger, Linda Giordano and Jeff Alexander, Broadridge

Charting the Unknown Depths of Dark Liquidity 

George Rosenberger

For buy-side traders, executing orders in dark pools has long been akin to navigating vast, fog-covered oceans. Two counterparties may pass within reach of each other, unaware of the liquidity that lies just beyond their sight—like ships passing in the night. The challenge is clear: without visibility into where liquidity is pooling, traders risk missing opportunities or executing under suboptimal conditions. 

Now, AI-driven advancements are acting as sonar, detecting patterns and mapping liquidity in real-time. These tools allow traders to pierce the veil of dark pool opacity, locating liquidity beneath the surface rather than relying on hindsight-based navigation. By deploying these capabilities, traders can move beyond traditional reactive strategies and proactively adjust their course to reach the best execution destinations with precision. 

The Enigma of Dark Pool Liquidity: Trading in Murky Waters 

Dark pools offer traders critical advantages: reduced market impact, anonymity, and the ability to execute large block orders without broadcasting intentions to the broader market. However, these same benefits come with costs: opportunity cost when counterparties are insufficient and the potential for the loss of post-trade transparency. While orders in dark pools are hidden and most dark pool transactions surface only as vague “TRF” (Trade Reporting Facility) markers printed to the tape, sophisticated market participants have the ability to deidentify dark pool fills and also execution mechanisms.  

Imagine navigating treacherous waters without a map—traders today are forced to infer liquidity patterns from past shipwrecks, relying on historical activity or prior fills to guess where liquidity may be lurking. This traditional approach is like scanning an old nautical chart instead of using real-time sonar—effective only when the waters remain unchanged. But when market conditions shift unexpectedly, these outdated maps leave traders stranded, unable to adjust their execution strategy quickly enough. 

The Limitations of Current Algorithmic Strategies: Drifting Without Direction 

Many algorithmic execution strategies today act like a dark pool sonde, dropping a probe into the liquidity environment to sense the current with a small size before committing the larger order.  Other algorithms are passive navigators, waiting for dark pool prints to appear before reacting. A trade must surface before algos can respond, triggering child orders only after liquidity has already been identified. But in fast-moving markets, both of these approaches are like a ship chasing a lighthouse beam—by the time the signal is seen, the light may be gone. This creates opportunity cost. 

The problem is twofold: 

  1. Delayed Response to Dark Pool Signals – By the time a dark pool print is confirmed, liquidity may have already dispersed, leaving traders adrift in open water, chasing shadows of past activity. 
  1. Overreliance on Historical Data – Traditional execution models depend on patterns observed in calmer seas, failing to adjust when liquidity shifts due to market sentiment, volatility, or breaking news. 

Without real-time adaptation, traders are left sailing blind, hoping that historical patterns hold steady—a risky proposition when liquidity is as unpredictable as ocean currents. 

AI-Driven Sonar: Charting a New Course for Dark Pool Execution 

AI-driven pattern recognition is transforming how traders navigate dark pool liquidity, much like advanced sonar scanning the ocean depths to reveal unseen structures. Rather than waiting for fills to materialize and reacting after the fact, modern AI continuously analyzes market signals, pinpointing where liquidity is forming in real time. This shift from passive observation to active detection enables traders to anticipate liquidity flows instead of chasing them, leading to reduced market impact, optimized execution, and improved alpha generation. 

But the real breakthrough lies in intelligent execution pairing. AI-assisted tools copilots that support trader decision-making can identify dark pool prints in real time and determine which execution strategy is best suited to access it, dynamically selecting the optimal algorithm for each opportunity. This precision-driven approach turns dark pool execution from a guessing game into a strategic operation, ensuring traders maximize liquidity access while minimizing costs. 

In this new paradigm, traders are no longer adrift in uncharted waters, hoping to stumble upon liquidity. Instead, they are navigators equipped with AI-powered sonar, charting a course toward more efficient, data-driven execution. Would you sail into unknown waters with an outdated map? Or would you rather use real-time AI guidance to seize the best trading opportunities? 

The answer is clear. 

MEMX Receives Regulatory Approval for MX2

Jonathan Kellner, MEMX

MEMX, a technology-driven exchange operator founded by members to benefit all investors, has received regulatory approval for its second exchange medallion, MX2.

This milestone marks a significant step in the company’s continued commitment to providing innovative trading solutions to all market participants.

As a result of this approval, MEMX now has rules in place to govern trading on a second equities exchange.

MEMX is actively working with market participants to determine the optimal launch date for MX2 Equities and will announce exact timing at a future date.

Additionally, MEMX intends to submit a rule filing to govern trading options utilizing a pro-rata model.

Jonathan Kellner, MEMX
Jonathan Kellner

This filing will support the expansion of MEMX exchange operations and the build out of the MX2 Options platform, which is targeted to launch in the first half of 2026.

“We are thrilled to receive approval for MX2, which reinforces our vision of advancing the development of our exchanges to advocate for the ever-changing needs of our market participants,” said MEMX CEO Jonathan Kellner.

“At a time when the options market is experiencing unprecedented investor engagement, this second medallion is emblematic of MEMX’s desire to provide exchange solutions to all options participants.”

MX2 Options will offer participants the ability to access the unique features of a pro-rata exchange model while benefiting from the advanced technology used in MEMX’s current price/time equity and options exchanges.

A prorata exchange rounds out MEMX’s options offering and reinforces the firm’s commitment to serving the diverse needs of the trading community.

AlphaX US Gains Market Traction, Plans Tiering and Broader Product Offering

Heidi Fischer, TMX

Just six weeks into its launch, AlphaX US is experiencing faster-than-expected growth, reinforcing its position as an innovative entrant in the U.S. trading landscape. Speaking on the sidelines of FIA Boca in Florida, Heidi Fischer, President of TSX Alpha US, shared insights into the platform’s early success, its unique market structure, regulatory landscape, and plans for future expansion.

Heidi Fischer

Launched on January 22, 2025, AlphaX US has quickly gained traction, demonstrating significant trading volumes. According to Fischer, the platform executed an average of almost 900,000 shares per day in February, with an average of 7 billion shares per day being routed into the venue. The ATS has also seen a diverse set of securities being traded, indicating broad market adoption.

“We are growing quicker than we expected, which is a great situation to be in,” Fischer told Traders Magazine. “We’re seeing a lot of support from the street and our participants, with a very healthy pipeline of new participants currently in the onboarding process.”

AlphaX US operates as a periodic auction market, running match events every 10 milliseconds with an added randomized element to enhance execution quality. This high-frequency auction model provides both price improvement opportunities and greater flexibility for participants.

“You have some of the protection of an auction market, but because it’s so fast, you’re not sitting for as long,” Fischer explained. “We designed our venue to give participants the ability to customize their interactions, leading to better execution.”

One key differentiator is its counterparty segmentation model, which, once launched, will allow traders to control who they interact with based on their execution goals.

“At different stages of trading, needs vary,” Fischer said. “There are times when segmentation makes sense, and times when it doesn’t. Our model puts the power back in our participants’ hands.”

Fischer confirmed that tiering, a system designed to further refine execution quality based on trading activity, is on the horizon. However, its rollout depends on collecting a larger data set to ensure fairness and anonymity.

“We’re hoping to implement tiering by the end of Q2 2025,” she said. “Once we have sufficient data, we will file an amendment to our ATS-N, followed by a 30-day waiting period before implementation.”

Additionally, the venue plans to expand its tradable universe, currently limited to stocks, ADRs, and ETFs, to include other exchange-traded products such as ETNs and commodity-linked instruments.

The U.S. regulatory environment remains in flux, with several proposed changes impacting alternative trading systems (ATSs) and exchanges. While Fischer acknowledges uncertainty surrounding recently passed but delayed regulations, she emphasized AlphaX US’s long-term commitment to adapting to new rules.

“Right now, there’s a lot of uncertainty around regulation, and some of the rules that were passed have now been delayed,” she explained. “But we’re building for the long term. We’ve run exchanges in Canada for over 150 years, and regulatory change is something we’re used to. The key is to stay agile and continue adding value in any environment.”

Despite potential regulatory headwinds, Fischer believes that market structure innovation will continue, and AlphaX US is well-positioned to evolve alongside these changes.

“We’re not coming to the U.S. with a six-month or one-year plan—we’re building markets for the future,” she added. “Regulations will change, and we’ll adapt, ensuring compliance while maintaining the flexibility to innovate.”

Despite the crowded market—with 33 active ATSs and a growing number of exchanges— AlphaX US sees itself as a complement rather than a competitor to existing venues.

“We focus less on competition and more on delivering a product that adds value,” Fischer said. “If we provide great execution and an easy-to-implement solution, participants will decide where to route their flow.”

By offering unique execution models and customization capabilities, AlphaX US aims to carve out a differentiated space within the U.S. equities trading ecosystem.

With an ambitious growth plan, Fischer anticipates that the platform will quadruple its participant base in the coming months. Additionally, AlphaX US is actively exploring its next strategic move in the U.S. market.

“This ATS was always planned as TMX’s first step into the U.S.,” she said. “What comes next? Maybe a second book, a different ATS, or even expansion into another asset class. We’re exploring where we can add the most value.”

To support these efforts, AlphaX US has built a deep analytics database, allowing the venue to provide participants with scenario-based testing and optimize their execution strategies.

“We’ve designed our venue to be flexible, making it easy for us to iterate and modify our model based on real-time data,” Fischer said. “As we collect more information, we’ll continue to refine our offerings to meet market needs.”

As AlphaX US moves forward, its focus remains on growth, innovation, and improving market efficiency. Fischer reiterated that the platform’s entry into the U.S. is just the beginning.

“Our goal is to identify what’s missing in the market and fill those gaps. We’re excited about what we’ve built, and even more excited about what’s to come.”

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