Have you ever heard of the Baltimore Stock Exchange? No? How about the Minneapolis Stock Exchange?
No again?
Well, Baltimore and Minneapolis used to have their own equity exchanges. So did Cleveland, Milwaukee, Seattle, St. Louis and Washington.
In fact, four decades ago, there were 21 stock exchanges in the U.S. Last year at this time, there were eight: the New York Stock Exchange, the American Stock Exchange, Nasdaq, and the remaining regional stock exchanges in Boston, Chicago, Cincinnati, Philadelphia and San Francisco. (The Pacific Exchange maintains its headquarters in San Francisco, but has trading floors in both San Francisco and Los Angeles.)
This year, a flurry of activity spurred by the proposed acquisition in March of the AMEX by the National Association of Securities Dealers, Nasdaq's parent has begun a new consolidation among this country's exchanges.
In June, the Philadelphia Stock Exchange (PHLX) announced its intention to join the merger between the AMEX and the NASD.
The following month, the Pacific Exchange (PCX) entered an agreement with the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) to merge.
With the PHLX and the PCX both undecided about the future of their equity operations, the list of U.S. stock exchanges may shrink to six, and counting.
A combination of factors chiefly declining profitability and the high cost of technology upgrades amid increased competition for orders have led the regionals to dramatically rethink the future of their operations.
"I think we're still in the middle of this period of consolidation," said Warren Langley, president of the PCX. "The regionals are going to have to gain a critical mass to compete with the other exchanges, the third market, electronic trading. The size of that critical mass is growing, and to go it alone is going to be very difficult."
Langley admitted that the PCX had been looking for a partner for almost a year, but did not engage in serious discussions with the CBOE until early this summer.
He said the AMEX's merger with the NASD and the rumors of further consolidation that ensued intensified the PCX's search for a partner.
Thomas F. Ryan Jr., president of the AMEX, admitted the NASD and AMEX announcement was likely a catalyst for much of the merger talks among U.S. equity exchanges.
Indeed, David Colker, chief executive of the Cincinnati Stock Exchange (CSE), said the proposed $200 million technology investment in the AMEX has forced his exchange to look for a possible partner.
"The NASD merger with the AMEX set about a lot of rethinking in the industry," Colker added. "The AMEX is committed to expanding electronic trading, which will make it more cost-effective. That is what's pushing us. We need to make sure we stay efficient and competitive."
Colker said the CSE at the urging of its members and broker dealers is currently looking at a number of opportunities.
Separately, Boston Stock Exchange (BSE) Chairman and Chief Executive William G. Morton Jr. said the BSE has been involved in serious merger talks with the CSE.
"Truthfully, we've had ongoing discussions about the future with some of the other exchanges," Morton said. "But we've been particularly involved with the CSE. So far, they've only been discussions. Nothing concrete yet."
Morton added that BSE management has stressed the importance of aligning with a larger organization to have more capital available for technology investments.
The BSE and the CSE have been projected as likely partners because of the similarity of their trading structures.
Although the BSE still has a trading floor in contrast to the all-electronic CSE both regionals permit multiple specialists on a single stock, similar to how Nasdaq works.
"Aside from the competing specialists on both the BSE and the CSE, the two exchanges have concentrated on the business of trading equities," Morton said. "We don't get into the other businesses some of the other exchanges have gotten into. That's what keeps costs down."
Lagging Behind
Ryan said the AMEX's merger with the NASD and the consolidation among exchanges that ensued will eventually strengthen competition.
"By and large, stock exchanges have never voluntarily made changes in business," he added. "They just went out of business. Our agreement with the NASD is the first real strategic merger to position for the future of listed trading. Although consolidation will create fewer competitors, it will make stronger competitors."
It's fitting that the AMEX may be driving much of the consolidation among U.S. stock exchanges. Perhaps no other exchange has suffered from such a severe decline in market share as the AMEX has in recent years.
Once the nation's number two exchange behind the NYSE, the AMEX has lagged behind both Nasdaq and the NYSE recently the other two primary markets.
The primary markets the NYSE, Nasdaq and the AMEX issue and list new stocks. The secondary markets, or regionals, compete with the primary markets for order flow once stocks have been issued.
In 1990, the AMEX had an average daily equity volume of 13.12 million shares. This past August, the AMEX average daily equity volume had grown to only 32.69 million shares.
While volume has more than doubled in the last eight years, the AMEX has been dwarfed by both Nasdaq and the NYSE.
Nasdaq had an average daily volume of almost 131.94 million shares in 1990. And Nasdaq has boomed in the last eight years. By this August, average daily volume had grown to more than 749.81 million shares.
Like Nasdaq, the Big Board has also seen stunning growth over the last eight years. In 1990, the NYSE had an average daily volume of 213.3 million shares. Through August 31, the NYSE had an average daily volume of 636.5 million shares this year.
When it agreed to merge with the NASD in March, the AMEX had only 783 listings, valued at $200 billion dollars. Nasdaq had 5,487 listings at the time of the merger, valued at $1.8 trillion dollars, and the NYSE had 3,044 listings, valued at $9.4 trillion.
Even the Chicago Stock Exchange (CHX) has surpassed the AMEX in trade volume recently.
The CHX lists more than 4,000 equity issues, almost all of which are primarily traded on the NYSE, Nasdaq and the AMEX. The CHX had an average daily volume of 37 million shares in August, outpacing the 32.69 million shares at the AMEX.
Improving Technology
So how will the NASD improve business at the AMEX?
With business growing at a relatively slow rate, Ryan said the AMEX did not have the resources to make the technology investment necessary to lower its cost structure and improve its equity business.
"We were aware that over the long run, we needed to make a major investment in our technology to remain competitive," Ryan said. "We couldn't make that commitment alone. Improving technology was the big driver in our merger."
Part of its proposed agreement is the NASD's promise to invest $200 million in a technology upgrade for the AMEX.
Ryan said the technology upgrade will not change the AMEX's specialist-based trading environment. Rather, the technology will improve the routing and execution of orders on the AMEX floor.
He added that paramount to the upgrade will be the creation of a new electronic equity book for the AMEX. The proposed new book will electronically execute small orders on the floor of the AMEX, and offer transparency beyond the quoted market. The book will also make the AMEX more efficient, Ryan said, by eliminating floor interaction and brokerage commissions for orders on the book.
The AMEX equity book will be loosely modeled on the NYSE's DOT systems.
Lowering Costs
David Whitcomb, a finance professor at Rutgers University and founder of Charleston-based day-trading firm Automated Trading Desk, said the regionals are looking to improve technology to lower their cost structures. By lowering their cost structures, he added, the regionals may be able to remain competitive despite declining profitability.
"The core business at the regionals has been disappearing," Whitcomb said. "A lot of retail order flow is going to the third market, or is being executed electronically. Plus, reducing trading increments to sixteenths has made business less profitable."
Whitcomb added that reduced spreads with smaller increments diminished the profits regionals had traditionally reaped from purchased order flow.
Robert Jennings, a finance professor at Indiana University, said broad changes across Wall Street have also affected business at the regionals. Chief among those changes have been improvements in technology and mergers among financial-services companies.
"On Wall Street in general, we've seen leaps in technology, huge economies of scale and consolidations of order flow," Jennings said. "The exchanges are having to merge to keep up with the Wall Street firms. The only way to survive as an exchange is to be a low-cost provider."
The CHX has been devoted to lowering costs in recent years. Robert H. Forney, president and chief executive of the CHX, attributes cost cutting and improved operations to record growth on the exchange.
In 1997, trade volume on the CHX set an exchange record, reaching 10.01 million trades. Through the end of August, trade volume on the CHX in 1998 was up 65 percent from the same eight-month period last year to 10.08 million trades. Through August, the CHX had traded 5.47 billion shares this year.
"We're keeping our mind open to potential partners out there," Forney said. "But mergers must align with our objectives. We have shaped ourselves into a low-cost structure. Most potential mergers would raise our cost structure, and that's opposite our objectives."
Two years ago, the CHX shed its trust and clearing company and a software division developing systems for foreign markets. By dropping its subsidiary businesses, the CHX workforce was slashed from more than 500 employees in early 1996 to 185 today.
The cost cutting has allowed the CHX to lower its average cost per trade from $4.76 in June of 1996 to $2.70 per trade this June.
With a lower cost structure, and an overhaul of its trading systems, the CHX was able to boost revenues from operations to $21.17 million for the first six months of 1998, an increase of 23 percent from the same period last year.
"We have a very dynamic environment in place now," Forney said. "We've made ourselves into a major player."
Forney cited high operating costs as driving forces in the recent mergers of equity exchanges.
Although it traded almost half the number of stocks, Forney said the PCX had more employees than the CHX. And PCX daily equity volume is significantly lower than CHX volume. Add that to the operating costs of maintaining two trading floors for the PCX, and profitability suffers significantly.
Forney also saw similar operating problems at the AMEX.
"The AMEX had an operating budget double or triple our budget, and they traded less stocks and less volume," he added. "The AMEX didn't have efficiency in their equity business. They needed that to compete."
Competitive Threats
Like many regional officials, Forney believes the recent exchange consolidation has also been influenced by options trading. The AMEX, the PCX and the PHLX all have viable options businesses.
"All of the exchange transactions have been centered somewhat around options trading," Forney said. "The PCX and the PHLX decisions were definitely spurred by options alliances. And that was part of the issue for the AMEX and the NASD."
Options the right to buy or sell a security at a prespecified price in exchange for an agreed-upon premium have become popular on Wall Street as a means to hedge risky investments in stocks.
Early last year, there were five options exchanges in the U.S: the AMEX, the CBOE, the NYSE, the PCX and the PHLX. There will soon be two.
Late last year, the CBOE purchased the options business of the NYSE to begin the spate of options mergers.
The PHLX joined the merger between the NASD and the AMEX in June primarily to link its options business with the AMEX.
And the CBOE will soon incorporate the options business of the PCX. Langley said part of the proposed agreement states that a new options trading environment similar to the CBOE's floor in Chicago will be built for the PCX in San Francisco.
Langley added that the CBOE is attempting to sell the PCX's equity operations, but is prepared to integrate equities into the new structure should no suitable buyer be found.
Aside from options, the PCX may have been strengthened by its agreement with Durango, Colo.-based OptiMark Technologies to link OptiMark's trading system to the exchange's equity business.
"OptiMark is what distinguishes our equity business from the other regionals," Langley said. "It's an innovation that could dramatically increase our order flow. It will give our equity business real strength."
That same potential equity strength has been lacking at the PHLX.
Through the end of May, the PCX had 1.7 percent share of trading in NYSE-listed stocks in 1998, trailing only the CHX among regionals. That business will likely increase once OptiMark goes live by year's end.
The PHLX, on the other hand, had fallen to dead last among regionals in trading of Big Board-listed securities, to less than one percent through May of 1998. In 1995, the PHLX traded 1.3 percent of the volume in NYSE stocks.
"Economic pressures at the PHLX had been building for some time," Colker said. "It wasn't sudden. Their options business is what attracted the AMEX and the NASD."
Salvatore F. Sodano, chief financial officer and deputy chief operating officer of the NASD, said the options businesses of the AMEX and the PHLX were important to the NASD's interest in the two exchanges.
"It's very risky to build an options business from scratch," Sodano said. "It was something we lacked, and it was one of the main factors in our interest in both the AMEX and the PHLX."
According to Sodano, the NASD will soon trumpet its newly-acquired options business in a large advertising campaign directed at both Wall Street and Main Street.
"The NASD will provide investors the ability to trade stocks and options, and we want them to know that," Sodano said. "With the equity business at the AMEX, we'll also provide companies with the choice of listing their stock in a dealer environment or a floor-based listed environment."
The AMEX's Ryan admitted the NASD and the AMEX have not fully considered what to do with the PHLX's equity business. He added that the PHLX's equity business may eventually be rolled into the AMEX's equity operations.
But Ryan said that the NASD has been adamant in its desire to maintain and enhance the equity operations at the AMEX.
"Nasdaq and the NASD have a growing prestige, and the order handling rules, the proposed limit-order book and stronger listed companies are making investors more comfortable," Ryan added. "By adding the recognized name of the AMEX, and our equity and options businesses, we're positioning to challenge the NYSE as the world's premier market."