Meltdowns in Asia. Currency swings in Europe. Foreign equity traders in the U.S. have faced these horrendous challenges. Not always in the eye-of-the-storm, trading desks regularly take positions in foreign stocks buying and selling American Depository Receipts and ordinary shares of overseas companies listed on U.S. exchanges
Some desks trade non-U.S. stocks in their primary markets. Scudder Kemper Investment, a financial-services and mutual-fund behemoth with more than $200 billion in assets under management, is a leading example. Maureen Nevin Duffy joined Bellaro and his team one morning on the pre-dawn opening of the European trading session at Scudder's offices on 345 Park Avenue in midtown Manhattan.
Who said Mike Bellaro's life is glamorous? He's 36, living in the New Jersey suburbs and he has a high-powered job running one of the largest 24-hour global trading desks on Wall Street.
Glamorous? Not so fast.This may be one of the toughest buy-side grinds in the business.
Consider Bellaro's schedule. At 1:45 a.m., his wife Evelyn and two young sons, Christopher, seven, and Thomas, four, sleep soundly, but Bellaro is already wide awake ready to telephone his German broker from home in 30 minutes. The coffee is brewing and Bellaro's next telephone call will be to Jennifer Gaulrapp, who runs his Asian and Far East session out of New York.
At 2:45 a.m., Bellaro, the senior vice president of international equity trading at Scudder Kemper Investments, is travelling a lonely highway on his way to work in New York.
The evening before, this reporter called Bellaro at home to check out the arrangements for Traders Magazine's visit to his desk. His voice rose above the din of his two rambunctious boys in the background. He was about to hit the sack. "Don't call me back after 7:30 [p.m.] tonight."
Early Bird
At 4 a.m., making my own way by car, the aroma of freshy-brewed coffee clings strangely to the air on the New Jersey Turnpike. Later, in midtown Manhattan, I pull into a parking garage, too early for the early-bird special and am socked for $30.
The main Park Avenue entrance to Scudder is closed, so entry is made from Lexington Avenue, where an elevator brings me to the 25th-floor trading room.
There are no windows in this long, narrow room. Day and night seem inseperable. Time seems suspended. "We are now living in trading time," says Bellaro, convincingly.
Arriving at the office in the predawn hours may not be every traders notion of the good life, but this is Bellaro's routine five days a week. Besides running the global desk, Bellaro shares the European beat with Erin St. John. He is responsible for Germany, Switzerland, Italy, Scandinavia, Global Depositary Receipts and international convertible bonds.
On Saturdays, Bellaro, a dedicated family man, relaxes at home. There's a catch, however. "No matter where you are in the international arena today," Bellaro says, "it is a 24-hour job every day of the week. There isn't a moment when you're not on call."
The desk reopens Sunday evenings at about 6 p.m.
Bellaro is philosophical about it. "To be truly committed to what you do, to be the best trader, you have to be dedicated," he says.
Trading Room
A four-foot-high fabric partition divides the trading room, on either side of which traders hunch over workstations and telephones. Reference materials and coffee-stained Wall Street Journals reach for the ceiling. Bellaro's two boys smile down from picture frames balanced atop his Bloomberg monitor, alongside magazine tearsheets of Scudder's portfolio managers. Back in New Jersey, his boys are still asleep.
Absent from the trading floor this morning is Jennifer Gaulrapp, who moved to the 6 p.m. to 4.am. "night" shift to help Scudder boost the business during those hours. Gaulrapp had packed it in at about 3 a.m.
Down the row of alert faces, Tom Davis, a senior associate, scrolls the Bloomberg monitors, looking out for names in the news and major events. He monitors the Reuters quotes. Later, he'll write a senior-management report of his assessment.
Davis staffs a two-panel telephone system with 14 pages of extensions and auto dials. A Merrin Financial Trading Platform for Windows blinks out the desks' working orders.
On the opposite side of the partition from Davis, Audrey Stephens gathers the trade confirmations that have accumulated overnight on the Asian desk. Stephens has reasonably conventional hours she commutes from Brooklyn for a 6 a.m. start.
Stephens matches the confirmations and books the completed orders. Later, she'll call brokers in New York working the unfilled orders. The accounting system, meanwhile, will receive the trades that have a print and are confirmed.
Hopping Phones
By 6:35 a.m. the telephones are hopping. At 7 p.m., the currency and Latin American and emerging-market traders arrive. Stephens' cool demeanour belies her heavy workload. Running compliance checks, Stephens flags any orders with foreign-exchange exposure and sends them to the currency blotter handled by Frank Messina.
Messina's mission is to reduce or eliminate clients' currency risks after the orders are confirmed. That might involve immediately buying a foreign currency to cover an executed trade. Messina is posted on the Asian business until he switches to the European desk at about 9 a.m.
At 9 a.m., Nestor Melendez, who picked up Gaulrapp's beat on the Latin American and emerging-markets desk, monitors the Brazilian market.
Meanwhile, Bellaro, looking dapper in a sharp suit, a shock of gray around the temples and a pencil moustache accentuating his authority, listens to Messina's telephone conversation. Bellaro is studious. The banter between Messina and his currency brokers gives him valuable market insight.
A shock development in Brazil's equity markets could hurt Bellaro's German holdings or other European stocks. Europe is his beat. A consummate expert, he knows how to duke it out in London, Paris and on any European exchange. Don't ask him to switch to other regions.
After a four-month stint covering a different region, it took him about four weeks to reacquaint himself with Europe. Part of the reason is purely physical. The biological clock needs time to readjust.
Moving back and forth between regions is problematic. In the business, Bellaro says it takes time to discover the players holding certain stocks, to unscramble their strategies and find "who has the flows in particular."
"It's wise to have people who are familiar with the product groups. You lose something if you switch people around," he adds.
The Thesis
Bellaro says he works with a thesis based on current information. "I teach traders to form a thesis about what the market and the stock itself is going to do. The point is to believe your thesis is correct," he says. "The worst thing you can do is make a panic decision." Bellaro's thesis depends on such elemental factors as price risk and reward objectives, and the supply and demand of stocks. "A good trader recognizes when the thesis is not correct and changes his opinion quickly not in a panic but quickly," he explains.
"That's where the team interaction comes in," he adds, "because gut feelings about how the market seems to be headed are shared with other traders and are either reinforced or corrected based on this interplay."
Bellaro says that is the key to a successful trading operation.
Normally, Bellaro's desk is swarming with activity. But this is the Thursday before the long July 4th weekend, and Bellaro apologizes for the slow market. He has started the day with only seven orders to work, whereas he'd normally have between 100 and 200 orders for European trades. Between questions, he takes a call.
"No. I'm interested but…[pause]. I'm thinking of selling it. Take a look at my blotter."
The most difficult moments in recent memory occured during the Asian crisis last fall. Two new Scudder traders were learning the beat when Asia started to slide badly. "It was very different for them to learn how to trade with 20-percent to 30-percent price swings," Bellaro recalls. "It's not like a bull market, where you buy on the open and look like a star at the close."
Stressful? "Yes, but at the end of the day," Bellaro says, "you have to have confidence in the stock market and the currency."
Like other institutional investors, Scudder's portfolio managers and research department determine what to trade, leaving Bellaro's trading desk full discretion on where and how to trade.
"The goal is to obtain the best execution possible, and to add value to the investment process," Bellaro says. "The desk is free to trade with any broker that can accomplish the task and has met [Scudder's] financial criteria."
The job is getting tougher though. Consolidations among brokerage houses and fund-management firms have had a knock-on effect in two ways: it has reduced the pool of brokerage houses from which to work an order, while the average size of each order has grown.
This is a major concern as Bellaro tries to assemble the most capable team of traders and to develop broker relations. "Can we move equities without impacting the price, as these orders grow larger and larger?" he asks incredulously.
Bellaro is watching the worldwide industry consolidation among financial-services firms with a careful eye. Experience tells him that having good broker relations is mightily important
"It's important to choose the right broker, one who is as discreet as possible if we have an illiquid stock," Bellaro explains. "If we indicate to three brokers that we're selling XYZ stock, and they call their clients for their interest, it can look like there are three sellers and create a panic in the market."
Electronic trading supplements the role of human brokers. Bellaro sometimes uses Instinet, the Reuters Holdings-owned electronic agency broker, widely used on Wall Street for trading domestic stocks, and increasingly active in international stocks.
"Now we can control an order, directing it to the Swedish Stock Exchange through Instinet. So not even a broker knows what I'm doing anonymously," Bellaro adds.
Though trading is relatively anonymous, there is one catch instead of a broker following the stock, Bellaro has to do it himself. "That's fine if I have time," he shrugs. Brokers play an invaluable role, he adds, but he thinks Instinet may reap opportunities to handle more foreign business given the current industry consolidation.
Global Syndicate
Global syndicate deals are an important part of Scudder's international business. For St. John, who runs global syndicate, that's been a factor in her domestic arrangements. She and her husband, John Duggan, a civil engineer, live in Manhattan's Battery Park City. When Bellaro is absent on Scudder business, St. John takes charge of his European beat as well as her permanent responsibilities for covering equities in France, the U.K., the Netherlands, Spain, Portugal, South Africa and Ireland.
Historically, new issues in Europe were priced and allocated on Monday mornings (European time). That, of course, gave Europeans first dibs on the allocations. When U.S. trading desks protested enough, Scudder being prominent among them, allocations on Sundays for U.S.-based investors were introduced. What that means is another workday for St. John.
With allocations on Sundays, a European broker will call St. John at her home on Sundays, informing her of his percentage of the initial public offering and the proportion available to Scudder.
St. John then runs Scudder's IPO allocation model for each investment fund or product group, including small-cap, global, emerging markets and other funds.
St. John contacts the portfolio managers, informing them about the allocation they received in the deal, providing them some color "as to what I think the stock will open at in America."
If the investment is for the long term, the portfolio manager may ask her to get more shares in the aftermarket.
The portfolio managers will sometimes share the burden of erratic working hours.
"Often, I'll wake them up at 4 a.m. to talk about what I think is happening," says St. John, referring to Scudder's portfolio managers. They in turn might tell her to buy until the issues reach a specified price. St. John must ensure that Scudder is getting its predetermined proportion of allocations.
This morning, St. John is watching ten deals. "I don't have a problem with that. I'm comfortable," St. John is overheard telling the broker calling about pending allocations.
Allocations are not the only reason St. John has to toil on weekends. A weekend general election in France could require her to keep in contact with brokerage sources in Europe because the outcome could impact the stock markets.
Meanwhile, other traders are filing in with their coffee and bagels. By now it is nearly 9 a.m.
Bellaro is pacing the trading floor looking satisfied. He mentions he is flying to London later in the day on business. His face tighens a little. He hopes, he says pensively, that the flight is smooth.
Some risks can't be controlled.