Thursday, March 13, 2025

Outlook 2025: Andrew Waters, TradingHub

Andrew Waters is Global Head of Regulatory Affairs, TradingHub.

Andrew Waters

What surprised you in 2024?

While 2024 didn’t bring any major surprises, it was a year where market manipulation and fraud continued to be prominent concerns for the industry. This was underscored by two headline-grabbing events: JP Morgan’s $450 million in fines for data governance failures and the conviction of Archegos’s Bill Hwang. These cases highlighted the increasingly aggressive stance U.S. regulatory and enforcement agencies are taking to address market manipulation and abuse.

In addition, both the SEC and FINRA were notably active in introducing new rules designed to combat market abuse. These regulatory efforts are set to gain more traction into next year. One of the most significant developments was the SEC’s new rule targeting short sale activity in equity markets. The rule aims to curb high-risk behavior and manipulative practices, enhance transparency and efficiency in the securities lending market, and equip the SEC to better analyze unusual market events. Agencies also backed up their tough talk on trade surveillance recordkeeping and reporting, as evidenced by the series of penalties laid onto Goldman Sachs related to oversight to prevent market manipulation.

What are your expectations for 2025?

Looking ahead to 2025, I expect we’ll see a continuation of regulatory agencies emphasizing trade manipulation and fraud as supervision focus areas. However, financial and compliance executives remain uncertain about how regulatory priorities might evolve under the new administration taking office on January 20. Over the past several years, the U.S. has demonstrated a clear commitment to pursuing cases of manipulation and fraud. For instance, during Trump’s first term, the CFTC notably focused on spoofing and other emerging manipulation activities, issuing over $400 million in enforcement actions during fiscal year 2018. Similarly, the SEC set records for enforcement fines related to spoofing between 2018 and 2019.

That said, the ultimate direction of oversight priorities will depend on the personnel and policies established by the incoming administration, which will shape trends in the years ahead.

What trends are getting underway that people may not know about but will be important?

One key trend we’re watching closely at TradingHub is the growing emphasis on data governance. The JP Morgan case brought this issue into sharp focus, as the enforcement action revealed the firm’s failure to oversee billions of client orders due to missing data

from 30 trading venues—a massive failure in data configuration and ingestion. This case has sparked a significant re-evaluation across the investment community regarding the state of their data management capabilities. Consequently, we’re seeing a surge in data transformation initiatives, which we expect to reverberate throughout the sector for at least the next 18 to 24 months.

Another key trend we’re monitoring is the surge in nefarious activity in asset classes like commodities. Investment bank professionals are coming to grips with a significantly more diverse and advanced commodities manipulation environment. As the temptation to squeeze prices for large futures contracts ahead of agreements surges, the OTC commodities market will only continue to grow riper for manipulation, not less so. And this is coming at a time when regulators have shown they are willing to flex their muscles when it comes to enforcement.

Outlook 2025: John Bartleman, TradeStation Group

John Bartleman is President & CEO of TradeStation Group.

John Bartleman

What were the key theme(s) for your business in 2024?

The central theme for TradeStation in 2024 was enhancing the client experience. This focus guided many of the company’s strategic initiatives, from launching a Private Brokerage experience to enhancing user engagement through events like the Crossroads Summit, held November 21-22, 2024, at the University of Miami in Coral Gables, Florida. These efforts were designed to enhance client satisfaction and provided valuable insights into what traders value most in their interactions with TradeStation Securities. Efforts to enhance the stability of legacy systems and the development of a next-generation platform, such as HUB (an enhanced portal designed to provide applicants and clients with a more streamlined experience, which replaced TradeStation Securities’ previous Client Center), further demonstrated our commitment to delivering exceptional user experiences. Additionally, we expanded our trading hours to begin at 6:00 AM ET and continued to foster growth through collaborations with third-party platforms, such as TradingView and Option Alpha, which underscored this theme of putting the client at the center of innovation.

What was the highlight of 2024 for TradeStation?

One standout achievement defined 2024 for TradeStation: the successful execution of the Crossroads Summit. Crossroads proved the viability of immersive client and third-party relationships’ engagement through curated events, blending thought leadership with networking opportunities. With the theme “Chaos Meets Innovation,” the Crossroads Summit brought together global thought leaders and forward-thinking strategists to confront challenges in today’s ever-changing geopolitical, economic, and technological landscape. The summit featured an impressive lineup of keynote speakers and panelists, including Cathie Wood (Founder and CEO of ARK Invest), Peter Zeihan (best-selling author and geopolitical strategist), Jamie Metzl (technology futurist and founder of One Shared World), and Francis Suarez (Mayor of Miami), among others.

What are your expectations for 2025?

Looking ahead, TradeStation plans to build on its 2024 successes with an even greater emphasis on enhancing the client experience and expanding its reach. Specifically, we will aim to scale our Private Brokerage events, hosting localized gatherings with several of our clients to foster deeper connections among traders and to provide a venue for them to share valuable insights.

Global expansion is another key priority as we anticipate expanding our presence in Europe. TradeStation will also continue to adapt to market trends by exploring 24-hour trading and the CME’s planned launch, in 2025, of single-stock futures, with an initial focus on “Magnificent 7’ tech names, including Amazon, Nvidia and Tesla, helping ensure traders have access to tools that align with an evolving trading environment.

What trends are getting underway that people (traders) may not know about but will be important?

Several emerging trends are poised to shape the trading landscape. The transition to 24-hour markets is gaining traction, with futures already trading nearly continuously and exchanges preparing for broader adoption. And, the CME’s planned launch of single-stock futures could provide traders with, nearly, round-the-clock access to pricing movements in popular stocks.

AI advancements will also significantly impact trading, offering predictive analytics and automation to help optimize decision-making. In addition, the derivatives market, particularly in options and futures, appears to be experiencing rapid growth as traders increasingly seek to trade these products.

In the digital asset space, we expect greater regulatory clarity may pave the way for innovation and we will be closely monitoring developments as the new administration comes in early next year. These trends reflect a dynamic trading environment, offering both challenges and opportunities for active traders.

Outlook 2025: Nick Wood, FINBOURNE

Nick Wood is AI product manager, FINBOURNE.

Nick Wood

What are your expectations for 2025?

While AI clearly has the potential to enhance operating margins and reshape the asset management industry, serious adoption remains slow. This hold up is largely due to a lack of confidence in the incumbent data management processes, which need to be designed to support AI technologies. While AI can certainly act as a feature and capability in an overall workflow, firms must be able to explain the models and trust the quality of the underlying data to get there. With AI showing so much promise, prioritising modern data infrastructures to address data quality concerns will be a priority for many asset managers next year.

Will firms embrace AI more next year?

The interest is increasingly emerging around integrating technologies like Microsoft Copilot, ChatGPT or Azure Open AI with existing systems to simplify interactions, manage requests most notably for client reports or specific fund information or handle responses more effectively. This indicates there is a potential shift towards more advanced applications with companies thinking about ways they can prioritise innovative solutions that enhance existing processes, rather than waiting for perfect data sources to become available.

With a robust data infrastructure in place, how important will the seamless integration of AI-led services be to the future of investment operations?

Emerging technologies like AI are becoming increasingly relevant in asset management. Machine learning (ML), natural language processing (NLP), and large language models (LLMs) all offer substantial opportunities to translate data into actionable insights and thus provide differentiated outcomes. While AI has the potential to enhance operating margins for a broad range of industries, business adoption remains slow. Many companies are still in the early stages of leveraging AI and are not confident that their data is ready to support AI technologies. But with the ever-evolving data landscape, some organisations are beginning to evaluate the effectiveness of AI tools, particularly for use cases like Due Diligence Questionnaires and Request for Proposals, with many participants suggesting a 60% success rate. This indicates potential but also highlights some limitations.

Outlook 2025: Martin Franchi, NinjaTrader

Martin Franchi is CEO of NinjaTrader.

Martin Franchi

What were the key theme(s) for your business in 2024?

2024 was a transformative year for NinjaTrader, centered on innovation and expansion driven by our customers. The surge in active traders advancing to futures trading provided invaluable insights, allowing us to launch the Pulse indicator, a first-of-its-kind feature showcasing the sentiment of the NinjaTrader community. We also completely overhauled our mobile app to deliver an intuitive experience that matches the expectations set by popular investing apps. We scaled our team with over 100 new hires, including key leadership roles, bringing unparalleled expertise in FinTech to ensure we stay ahead in shaping the future of active trading. All the new leaders we have welcomed to the team recently have extensive experience delivering industry-leading technology and services across a diverse set of industries. Combined with the incredible talent already at the firm, we are well-positioned to continue growing. We are very purposeful during our recruiting process to ensure all new hires fit with our NinjaTrader culture, where we put customers first and stay focused on building the most powerful tools for today’s trader.

What are your expectations for 2025?

In 2025, we expect to see continued momentum in active retail trading, driven by enhanced engagement and education on the NinjaTrader platform. We are reimagining the trader journey by offering unlimited access to live market data for free, complemented by our award-winning support to guide traders at every step. By collaborating with the CME and other leading exchanges, we’re ensuring retail investor’s voices shape innovative products like nano-sized futures and contracts that lower the barriers to entry. Our focus is on delivering transformative tools and experiences that help traders build confidence, strategies, and long-term success in futures markets. We are hyper-focused on creating the premier futures trading experience for the ever-expanding group of investors entering the space.

What trends are getting underway that people may not know about but will be important?

One of the most exciting trends is the growing focus on retail traders by major exchanges, a shift that was unimaginable a decade ago. This focus is driving a wave of innovation, from nano-sized futures and perpetual contracts to single-stock futures, creating more accessible and flexible trading opportunities. We’re excited to be at the forefront of this transformation, collaborating with leading exchanges and start-ups to bring these cutting-edge products to market.

What industry trends have been prominent but are now fading (or will soon fade)?

Some trends, like event contracts, have shown early promise but struggled to gain consistent adoption due to their time-sensitive nature. While they generate excitement around specific moments, they lack the daily trading momentum of benchmarks like the S&P. Something that I’ll think we’ll see a shift towards will be the web and mobile platforms reshaping the industry. We anticipate a resurgence in desktop solutions as traders advance and demand more sophisticated capabilities. We’re committed to meeting traders wherever they are on their journey, with seamless web, mobile, and desktop solutions that grow alongside them.

ON THE MOVE: ING Hires Debbie Janeczek; Tradeweb Names Enrico Bruni and Troy Dixon

Debbie Janeczek

ING has appointed Debbie Janeczek as chief information security officer (CISO), effective January 13, 2025. Janeczek will report to Daniele Tonella, ING’s global chief technology officer and member of the Management Board Banking. She succeeds Henrik van Bruggen, who successfully acted as global CISO ad interim next to his role as global head of Tech Strategy & Enterprise Architecture. Janeczek is joining from Swift, the messaging network used for international transactions between banks, where she was the chief security officer. She has worked for industry-leading financial services, technology companies, and top government organisations, where she has built and executed security strategies and implemented security programmes.

Enrico Bruni

Enrico Bruni and Troy Dixon have been named to the newly-created roles of Co-Heads of Global Markets at Tradeweb Markets, effective January 2025. Bruni is presently Managing Director and Head of Europe and Asia business for Tradeweb, a position he has held since 2013. He joined Tradeweb in 2002 and has been instrumental in developing the company’s interest rate swaps business in Europe and Asia. With nearly 30 years of financial services industry experience, Dixon is presently Founder and Chief Investment Officer of Hollis Park Partners. Dixon, who is presently a member of the Tradeweb Board, will step down from the Board effective December 31, 2024 in connection with his new role. He will join the Tradeweb Executive Committee alongside Bruni and the Company’s other senior leaders.

Mike Cowley

Broadridge Financial Solutions has appointed Mike Cowley as Head of International Investor Communications Service Delivery business, based in London. Cowley’s extensive experience working with Central Securities Depositories (CSDs), exchanges, sub custodians and global custodians uniquely position him to help refine and harmonize operational processes across markets. His previous role was Global Head of Asset Services Product Development at Citibank where he led transformative initiatives to enhance service delivery. Prior to this, he served as Global Head of Custody and Domestic Fund Services Operations at Deutsche Bank where he managed multinational teams covering a range of operational frameworks.

Versana, an industry-backed enterprise data and technology company, has hired Amrita Ganguly as Head of Strategy and Corporate Development, Julia Kingsbury as Product Strategist and Melissa Magner as Head of Legal. As new members of Versana’s leadership team, all three will work closely with Founding CEO Cynthia Sachs. Most recently, Ganguly was an Executive Director at Morgan Stanley within Strategic Investments focused on opportunities in the fintech and market structure spaces. Kingsbury’s prior roles included Managing Director, Global Head of Credit Operations at Credit Suisse and CSAM, where she was instrumental in shaping the bank’s market-leading franchise over the course of three decades. Prior to this role, Magner was a Director at BlackRock leading teams that supported the US financial markets advisory, wealth tech and institutional asset management businesses. 

The International Swaps and Derivatives Association (ISDA) has announced that its Board of Directors has elected Jeroen Krens as its new Chair, effective January 1, 2025. The move follows the decision of former Chair Eric Litvack to step down after 10 years in the role. Krens is Managing Director, COO, Markets & Securities Services at HSBC Bank. He has worked for HSBC for 10 years and has had two stints on the ISDA Board – from January 2012 to February 2014 while working at Royal Bank of Scotland and since November 2016 while at HSBC.

Jeff Conway has joined SimCorp’s Board of Directors, effective immediately. Conway brings deep knowledge of digital transformation and client experience innovation. His career spans several decades in senior executive and board roles. This includes more than 30 years at State Street Corporation, where he was a long-standing member of the firm’s management committee and held positions such as Head of Global Delivery and Business Transformation, as well as CEO for Europe, the Middle East, and Africa.

If you have a new job or promotion to report, let me know at alyudvig@marketsmedia.com

Outlook 2025: John Paul DeVito, InteliClear

John Paul DeVito is Director, InteliClear.

John Paul DeVito

What were the key themes for your business in 2024?

The hallmark of 2024 for InteliClear was the seamless transition to T+1 settlement, achieved without disruption thanks to our system’s unique architecture. Designed to operate independently of settlement dates, InteliClear’s platform ensured our clients experienced a smooth transition while maintaining efficiency and accuracy. Additionally, our focus on developing and launching InteliClear 2.0 was a pivotal theme InteliClear 2.0 Video Launch.mp4   This enhanced version of our platform introduced innovative features, making it even more adaptable to the evolving demands of the financial industry.

What are your expectations for 2025?

The market outlook for 2025 presents an exciting landscape for InteliClear and the broader financial ecosystem. The “risk-on” environment, coupled with favorable interest rates and record-high global markets, has created fertile ground for modern post-trade processing solutions to replace outdated legacy systems. We anticipate heightened demand for agile and robust platforms as market participants seek to optimize operations and enhance scalability. InteliClear is well-positioned to play a central role in this global transformation, providing the tools and support necessary to navigate the complexities of an increasingly dynamic market environment.

What trends are getting underway that people may not know about but will be important?

One of the most significant yet underrecognized trends in the post-trade space is the processing of alternative assets. InteliClear has been a pioneer in this area and continues to innovate with various opportunities. We are actively integrating our post-trade processing solutions with blockchain technology to manage traditional and non-traditional assets, adhering to stringent regulatory frameworks, including FINRA, SEC, GAAP, and PCAOB rules. By leveraging blockchain, we aim to bring increased transparency, security, and efficiency to all asset classes while ensuring full compliance. This approach represents a paradigm shift in how post-trade processes are managed, particularly for alternative assets, underscoring our commitment to staying at the forefront of industry innovation.

Another critical development is the SEC’s mandate requiring the clearing of eligible secondary market transactions (ESMTs) in U.S. Treasury securities. This regulation, aimed at reducing system-wide risk and enhancing market stability, demands robust post-trade solutions. InteliClear is aligning its platform to accommodate these regulatory changes, ensuring clients can seamlessly meet compliance requirements. This mandate reflects a broader industry push toward enhanced oversight and risk reduction, making compliance-ready post-trade systems an indispensable asset for financial firms.

Lastly, the rise of artificial intelligence (AI) presents transformative opportunities for our clients. Thanks to InteliClear’s non-service bureau operating model, present and future clients retain complete control over their systems. This autonomy empowers them to customize AI-driven tools and analytics to optimize operations, manage risks, and enhance decision-making. InteliClear’s approach ensures that clients, not external vendors, dictate how technology evolves to meet their specific needs.

These emerging trends—alternative assets, blockchain integration, regulatory adaptation, and AI-driven opportunities highlight the dynamic changes shaping post-trade processing. InteliClear remains committed to providing innovative, client-controlled solutions that drive efficiency and resilience in this evolving financial landscape.

Lessons from a Decade of European Crypto ETPs: Insights for the U.S. Market

By Jean-Marie Mognetti, CEO of CoinShares

The Spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in the United States ignited a new wave of institutional investment as previously sidelined buyers have taken advantage of this new asset class. The inflows thus far have been remarkable and the development of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the U.S. market is poised to accelerate. 

Over the course of 2024, we have seen the tremendous opportunity that the digital asset industry has moving forward with the approval of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in the United States. In the recent weeks following the U.S. Presidential election, digital asset fund flows in the U.S. continued to grow exponentially. During the week of the election following President Trump’s successful campaign for another term, the US saw $1.95 billion in inflows into digital asset ETFs, with the year to date total in the US reaching $29 billion. But now that these products have been introduced to the market, where do we go from here? 

While the United States was late to approve regulated crypto investment vehicles relative to its peers, it stands to benefit from the wealth of experience accumulated in European markets over the past decade. With a new, and seemingly favorable, administration set to take the reins in 2025, what could the digital asset industry expect the ETF landscape in the U.S. to look like? Having played a key role in advancing publicly traded crypto products in Europe as CEO of CoinShares, reflecting on the European experience can help our U.S. counterparts navigate this new terrain and more seamlessly develop their own crypto markets.

Europe’s Pioneering Role

Europe has long been at the forefront of adopting crypto asset classes, setting global standards for safe entry into the crypto ecosystem for both institutions and the public. Europe’s first regulated crypto product launched in 2015, on the Nasdaq Stockholm, with the debut of a Bitcoin-backed ETP This milestone paved the way for further innovation, with Europe’s first Ether ETP following in 2017.

The digital asset ETP approval regulatory journey in Europe has been complex and multifaceted. The original CoinShares XBT Provider Bitcoin ETP, followed a structure similar to Gold ETPs in Europe. However, this original product was the sole digital asset ETP available for two years, before Switzerland’s Six Exchange provided a pathway for others to launch Bitcoin (and eventually other) ETPs on the exchange. Following this development, Germany’s Deutsche Börse AG followed suit in 2020, leading to a large capital infusion into digital asset ETPs, providing significant AUM in these products for the first time since inception in 2015. 

Since these initial product launches, the European market has continued to expand and now offers over 100 different products, referencing roughly 40 different underlying assets, from 20 different issuers. The landscape now includes physically-backed ETPs, synthetically-replicated products, and blended offerings that provide exposure to multiple cryptocurrencies or crypto-related assets. Companies such as CoinShares, 21Shares, WisdomTree, VanEck, Valour, Invesco, Hashdex, and ETC Group, amongst others, now offer an assortment of crypto ETP products to European investors.

While the growth of the crypto ETP market in Europe has faced challenges, including an ever-evolving regulatory landscape, these obstacles have driven innovation and led to the creation of more sophisticated products and robust infrastructures. Europe’s proactive approach to creating a regulatory environment that balances innovation with investor protection has been instrumental in the growth of crypto ETPs. As the U.S. market develops, finding this balance will be crucial for sustainable growth and investor confidence.

Infrastructure Development

While crypto ETPs function similarly to their United States ETF counterparts: both are open ended and exchange traded.  As a result, considering and implementing the appropriate infrastructure is critical to ensure longevity and accessibility. This includes accessing appropriate trading venues, engaging market makers and regulated custody solutions, and ensuring adequate on-exchange  liquidity .

Major European exchanges like Deutsche Börse Xetra, SIX Swiss Exchange, and Euronext now list crypto ETPs, providing investors with secure and streamlined methods to invest in cryptocurrencies. This infrastructure development has been crucial in fostering trust and facilitating broader adoption.

The development of infrastructure didn’t happen overnight. It required close collaboration between ETP issuers, exchanges, market makers, and regulators. Each player in the ecosystem had to adapt to the unique challenges presented by crypto assets. For instance, exchanges have been at the forefront of working with their regulators to approve digital assets as eligible underlyings 

As the market has matured, we’ve seen a marked improvement in liquidity across European crypto ETP offerings. This has been achieved through a combination of factors, including increased competition among issuers, growing investor interest, and the entry of established financial institutions into the crypto space. Liquidity provisioning has been another critical area of development. In the early days of crypto ETPs, liquidity was a significant concern for institutional investors. However, as the market has matured, we’ve seen a marked improvement in liquidity across European crypto ETP offerings. This has been achieved through a combination of factors, including increased competition among issuers, growing investor interest, and the entry of established financial institutions into the crypto space.

The Importance of Multiple Custodians

One of the most critical lessons learned is the importance of having multiple custodians for crypto ETPs. The crypto markets operate 24/7, and technical issues can occur at any point in the trading process – even on major exchanges like the NYSE.

To minimise the impact of such technical glitches, asset managers must have robust backup plans in place. This includes arrangements with multiple custodians to ensure trading and settlement can continue with minimal disruption. For instance, if a major custodian like Coinbase were to encounter technical difficulties, CoinShares’ experience has taught us to be prepared with alternative custody solutions.

Looking Ahead

As the global leader in financial markets, the U.S., following Donald Trump’s election victory for another term as president, is well positioned to scale its domestic market for digital asset ETFs, and a favorable regulatory environment primed for innovation. With the advantage of hindsight, the U.S. can leverage Europe’s decade-long experience with crypto ETPs to avoid pitfalls and accelerate crypto adoption. The key takeaways include:

  • Understanding and catering to diverse customer needs with a range of product offerings.
  • Developing robust infrastructure, including reliable trading venues and liquidity providers.
  • Working closely with regulators to create a balanced environment that fosters innovation while protecting investors.
  • Implementing strong risk management practices, particularly in terms of custody arrangements.

By leveraging these lessons, as the industry enters another bull cycle, the U.S. can accelerate the development of its crypto ETF market, providing investors with secure and regulated access to this emerging asset class. The global crypto landscape is evolving rapidly, and collaboration between markets will be crucial. As European pioneers in this space, we at CoinShares look forward to sharing our learning and expertise as we lead the industry forward towards a robust, global crypto ETF ecosystem. 

FLASH FRIDAY: Recapping the Year in Market Structure

FLASH FRIDAY is a weekly content series looking at the past, present and future of capital markets trading and technology. FLASH FRIDAY is sponsored by Instinet, a Nomura company.

Predicting market structure trends is no easy feat, and revisiting those predictions a year later often reveals unexpected twists.

Kevin McPartland

Kevin McPartland, Head of Market Structure and Technology Research at Coalition Greenwich, Zoomed with Traders Magazine for the third-annual ‘look back at a look ahead’, assessing CG’s Top Market Structure Trends to Watch in 2024.

Of the 10 trends highlighted in the January 2024 report, which ones happened as expected, and which ones took an unexpected turn?

1. U.S. Regulations Must Speed Up or Die, Ahead of U.S. ElectionsAs Expected

Kevin: “Many of the rules that were proposed in 2024 will ultimately die, given the outcome of the election. We actually wrote about this recently—Chair Gensler was going to resign, and a new chair was announced. It does seem like a lot of the outstanding rules will likely be scrapped, and they’ll step back and reevaluate where to go from here”

2. GUI Search is Out, AI Search is In As Expected

“We’re definitely moving in that direction. Of course, not all applications can sort of tear out years of development and immediately replace it with generative AI, but it does very much feel like the world continues to move in that direction, and it’s only getting better.”

3. The Exchange Buying Spree ContinuesLess than Expected

“There wasn’t much this year, so perhaps this trend is delayed a year. I would say that yet again, given the change in Washington, there is an expectation for more M&A in 2025. So less than expected, but perhaps playing catch-up in 2025.”


4. Private Markets Aren’t So Private Anymore – More than Expected

“I literally read an article this morning about how private market access is continuing to expand and how there are multiple ways to do it. We do have ETFs for private market access, so it’s certainly becoming more and more available to institutional and retail investors.”


5. Workflow Automation Becomes the Priority
As Expected

“As expected, automation will continue to be a priority. We recently published a research piece on muni dealers, and we asked about their tech priorities for next year. Again, the number one answer was automation. So this does continue to be a topic across every asset class, front office and back office alike. So, as expected and will only continue.”

6. The Market Still Cares About Crypto and Blockchain for Capital MarketsAs Expected

“This trend continues to move forward. This is another trend that the U.S. election is going to drive even further, so interest should only grow here. A lot of U.S. entities are hoping for more regulatory clarity, which now seems realistic for 2025. Both on the crypto front and the tokenization front are seeing progress. Of course, you can’t ignore Bitcoin hitting $100,000 — that kind of growth is certainly going to drive interest even further forward.”


7. Central Clearing Tries to GrowAs Expected

“If we take the word ‘tries’ literally, then yes, it’s as expected, we certainly try to continue to move forward. I think treasury and repo clearing are again trying to make progress. The expectation is that these rules will stick, even with the changes in Washington, but will likely take longer to implement, the deadlines will be pushed out. This is a long-term trend
that arguably started after the financial crisis in 2010 or so and continues and will continue going forward. So definitely a push to more clearing, but it is a slow-moving train.


8. T+1 Prematurely Creates T+0 Talk – Less than Expected

“We’ve still had those conversations this year about T+0. I do think the idea is sitting with certain FinTech firms that are thinking about how to move the market forward and what opportunities might exist. I don’t think anybody foresees any regulatory action in this regard anytime soon, especially in the U.S., but that doesn’t mean the industry won’t try to make some progress in certain pockets where they see opportunity.

9. Cheap Capital is Harder to FindAs Expected

“This trend stuck with us through 2024. Even as the Fed started to cut rates, long-term interest rates didn’t come down all that much, so rates are still historically high right now, which is making it expensive to borrow. There’s also a political lean to all of this. Because of the election, there’s some expectation that additional capital requirements for banks could be scaled back or even canceled altogether, which should free up some capital on the banking side. If we’re talking about more M&A, that should hopefully create a lot of deals, allowing private equity and venture firms to sell their existing holdings or bring them public, which then frees up capital to do more investing, and it seems like that could start to shift in 2025.”

10. Buy, Build and Integrate Replaces Buy vs. BuildAs Expected

“There do seem to be very few capital markets firms that are all buy or all build anymore. This ties back nicely to workflow automation — being able to move information between applications, whether internal, external, or from multiple vendors, to make that workflow more seamless and automated. These two things will just feed on each other and help continue to move this forward.”

And:

The Search for “Normal” Continues

“I do kind of feel like we’re there, right? It’s funny reading what I wrote a year ago—trains are definitely still less empty on Mondays and Fridays, although less so than they were at the start of the year. There are a lot more mandates for everybody to come back five days a week, especially with big financial markets firms and even some tech firms. It feels like the industry has found its new, new normal. Business is certainly back, the markets have been on fire, and we’ll see what next year brings.

Bonus question: What was the biggest market structure trend of 2024 that you didn’t highlight in your top 10 list from one year ago?

“Maybe this is a little in the weeds, but a lot of electronic trading focus for years has been very much about the buy side, the investors and how they interact to get liquidity. But in 2024, it seemed like there was a big focus on the dealer-to-dealer market and innovation there in electronic trading. So, we saw growth in electronic trading in that segment, along with a lot of innovations the from trading venues, with new solutions or existing ones that really started to grow. That was a bit of a surprise that come out of the data.”

Outlook 2025: Steve Sanders, Interactive Brokers

Steve Sanders is EVP of Marketing and Product Development at Interactive Brokers.

Steve Sanders, Interactive Brokers
Steve Sanders

What were the key theme(s) for your business in 2024?

Year after year, Interactive Brokers remains focused on its core competencies and a target audience of sophisticated investors, active traders, and institutions. We continue to allow clients in over 200 countries and territories worldwide to fund accounts and trade assets in up to 28 currencies. Investors can trade globally in stocks, options, futures, currencies, bonds, funds, and more on 150 global markets from a single unified platform. With global market access, competitive pricing and advanced trading technology, our platform is designed for active traders with a range of investment objectives.

Over the last year, we enhanced our technology and further expanded the suite of tradeable products on our platform. We unveiled the IBKR Desktop trading platform and several tools and upgraded existing services to enhance our clients’ trading experience.  

IBKR Desktop, one of our top initiatives from 2024, is a modern and sophisticated trading solution featuring powerful tools in a user-friendly interface. Novice and experienced investors benefit from IBKR Desktop’s streamlined design and access to tools like MultiSort, which enables users to sort data using multiple factors simultaneously and Option Lattice, a graphical options chain display highlighting potential outliers in key metrics.

We also launched many new products, including forecast contracts on election, economic, and climate events, daily options on the CAC 40® index, access to the Saudi Exchange, Malaysian Ringgit-denominated equities, ETFs and derivatives on Bursa Malaysia, CHF-denominated bonds, KOSPI and USD/KRW derivatives through the Eurex/Korea Exchange, European stock options and index futures and options on Cboe Europe Derivatives – as well as extended trading hours for US Treasuries, global corporate bonds, UK gilts, and European government bonds.

What was the highlight of 2024?

A key highlight from 2024 was the launch of forecast contracts on election, economic, and climate events through the ForecastEx exchange, a wholly owned subsidiary of Interactive Brokers.

Forecast contracts allow investors to trade their opinion on “Yes” or No” questions on political, economic, and climate indicators to express a view on a critical issue and manage portfolio risk. It is simple to take a position, investors can purchase a “yes” contract if they think an event will occur, or conversely, if they believe the event will not occur, they can buy a “no” contract. Contract prices range from $0.02 to $0.99, reflecting the market’s evolving consensus on the likelihood of each outcome. The forecast contracts also pay an interest-like incentive coupon based on the closing market value of the positions, which is currently paid at a rate of 4.08% APY.

Significant demand for election-focused contracts on the IBKR platform ahead of the 2024 Presidential election emphasized the rising significance of prediction markets. With this year’s election cycle now over, we hope that investors will come to our platform to take a position on key economic and environmental outcomes. 

What surprised you in 2024?

The theme of 24/7 trading continues to grow, and we were pleased to see significant demand for Overnight Trading Hours on the Interactive Brokers platform. As of the end of November 2024, Overnight Trading on IBKR’s platform increased 543% since the beginning of 2024, representing 2.29% of all US trades. With over 85% of new client applicants from outside the US, Interactive Brokers is a truly global broker. IBKR’s Overnight Trading Hours service, which lists over 10,000 US stocks and ETFs plus US Index futures and options, is an important feature for our global client base. Clients in Asia and Europe looking to capture US trading opportunities can trade during local market hours and react immediately to market-moving news.

Outlook 2025: George Rosenberger, Broadridge

George Rosenberger is Head of NYFIX, Broadridge Trading and Connectivity Solutions.

George Rosenberger

What were the key theme(s) for your business in 2024?

The T+1 settlement cycle change was a very visible and impactful change in the industry in 2024. While some firms were prepared well in advance, many were not leading them to scramble for solutions. While some of the larger industry vendors started to turn clients away, because it was too close to the implementation window, we were able to onboard them in time to be compliant with the regulation effective date.

What are your expectations for 2025?

We will see continued investments in technology particularly around data analytics and piping those analytics into buy-side and sell-side OMS platforms. Data driven strategies, compliance checks and routing rules will start to become the norm to remove the burdensome part of the trading process from the actual trader so they can focus more on execution quality. The availability of expansive and cost-effective compute power coupled with AI and Machine Learning will lead to pivotal advancements in the industry by summarizing large data sets in microseconds allowing for the formation of new trading ideas and insights while also helping clients optimize their order placement and execution costs.

What trends are getting underway that people may not know about but will be important?

People need to become workably proficient with AI. The advancements in AI is ever changing and getting involved early and solidifying understanding of the technology will not only allow people to become comfortable using it in your everyday life, but also help them to become more effective in their job by automating mundane tasks, analyzing large datasets quickly in order to generate new ideas, and allowing for more focus on strategic business areas and core operations.

What is Broadridge doing specifically in the area of AI to improve the lives of our customer?

Broadridge has a strategic focus and dedicated resources helping to create innovative AI solutions for our clients. Whether it is BondGPT, which assists users in identifying corporate bonds and answers complex bond-related queries; BondGPT+, the enterprise version of BondGPT; OpsGPT, a Gen-AI-powered co-pilot that uses transaction, settlement, and position data to provide clients real-time visibility for faster fail resolution; Tradeverse, a real-time, multi-asset, unified global data platform foundational to delivering the value of data and AI to clients; or our new algorithm insights service that analyzes large historical and real-time datasets to recommend the optimum algo strategy to use for the particular name that the trader needs to execute; Broadridge is focused on innovation to help our clients be more efficient, effective and compliant.

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